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LATEST ARTICLES
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Does Banco Galicia’s acquisition of HSBC Argentina validate president Javier Milei or weaken him?
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President Javier Milei campaigned on cuts – and that is what he has delivered. But like all extreme diets, the approach is unsustainable. Time to rethink the plan.
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Reports that the long-rumoured deal has been agreed suggest growing optimism among Argentine bankers about the new administration.
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The cost to the government of supporting the Mexican oil firm’s debt could rise to 1.5% of GDP in 2025. Could it walk away?
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Markets jump on the news that Javier Milei will be Argentina’s next president. A large devaluation is needed, but that leads to the risk of deposit flight.
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If you owe the IMF $3.6 billion, it’s your problem. But if you owe the IMF $36 billion, it is their problem.
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The frontrunner in the Argentine presidential election campaign has said he wants to abolish the peso and replace it with the US dollar. Is it blue-sky thinking or just greenback dreaming?
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The country’s economy was already weak before a serious drought hit. Now it is broke, and the question in Buenos Aires isn’t whether finance minister Sergio Massa can muddle through to the presidential election at the end of October, it is whether he can make it to the primaries in August before a full-blown financial crisis.
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When the news broke that Argentina was thinking of merging its currency with that of its neighbour, Brazil, my immediate question was: which Argentine peso?
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Argentina faces yet another financial crisis and has brought in a new ‘super-minister’ to try to calm the market and placate the IMF. While he will find a sympathetic ear at the fund, not many other international investors are listening anymore.
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Vaca muerta is an enormous oil and gas field, but it may be too late to exploit it.
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Itaú’s Argentinian firm is its smallest. Nevertheless, innovation in its retail segment could be a game-changer in the country – and potentially the region.
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Rebooting the financial system with a new currency could be what’s needed to give Argentina’s economy a way forward.
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The Peronist playbook is back in force: Argentina’s monetization of fiscal deficits relies on the banking system buying central bank and government securities. This time around the movie has a new subplot: credit growth in both the corporate and retail sectors is increasingly taking place outside the traditional banking sector.
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Given its reputation, it’s not surprising that Argentina’s bonds are pricing in a high chance of default in coming years. It’s a little harder to understand why the country’s creditors are enabling this.
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Adopting orthodox policies in a bid to secure IMF agreement is a positive for Argentina, but regulations still restrict the banks compounding big FX exposures.
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Local scepticism over proposed debt offer rises as bid to include GDP warrants rejected.
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Breathless reporting of the details of the Argentine government’s offer to bondholders tends to presuppose there is doubt in the outcome.
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They seemed to be emerging, blinking, into the light of a normal financial system under former president Mauricio Macri, but that moment has gone; the new administration has sent real rates negative, while economic and credit growth look to be years away.
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The new government’s decision to go after Mercado Libre has the sector worried.
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The rhetorical battle between Argentina’s government, the IMF and bondholders is heating up but the bigger – largely ignored – issue appears to be the country’s looming financial collapse.
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Road testing the likely economic and financial policies come the October general election.
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Argentina is about to default; again. It will be the ninth time in the past 200 years, and the Latin American sovereign is about to test its ability to survive beyond the ascribed mortality of cats.
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When Mauricio Macri won the last presidential election in 2015, the future for Argentina’s banks looked rosy: a spate of international debt and equity deals confirmed the optimism. No one who participated in those deals – including Galicia’s CEO Fabián Kon – thought the country would soon be back to square one.
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Argentina’s politicians have played their cards for the coming presidential election – Cristina Kirchner surprised everyone by lining up behind Alberto Fernandez.
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The government is pushing structural reforms despite the economic crisis; new tax regulations aimed to bring money onshore.
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There are key differences between the growth outlook for Argentina’s banks today and that of Brazil’s banks from 2003 to 2008.
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I can’t seem to stop worrying about Argentina in its election year.
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A lower-profile announcement caught Euromoney’s eye after the bluster of the G20 meetings in Buenos Aires.
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Another financial crisis has rocked the country. As it slips into what could be a deep recession, time is running out to achieve the recovery that could create the conditions for a pro-market candidate to win next year’s presidential elections.
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They are used to dealing with a crisis, but they can usually see one coming. Does the shock of the IMF bailout leave local firms vulnerable?
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If Argentina’s financial crisis is going to turn into a banking crisis, as it did in 2001, that transmission will first be identifiable in the deposits data.
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The resignation letter of Luis Caputo, until September 25 the president of Argentina’s central bank, is effectively the IMF’s receipt for the purchase of the country’s monetary policy.
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There’s an old joke about a tourist approaching a local to ask for directions: The local considers, sucks on his teeth for a while and replies “I wouldn’t start off from here if I were you”.
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Ground shifts under banks’ move to normalization; financial, economic and political uncertainties to dominate boardrooms.
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The country has blown its chances with its monetary mess.
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Risk not commensurate with project debt returns; investment crucial to fill gap as economy normalizes.
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The country’s gradualist approach to adjusting its fiscal deficit was always balanced on a knife-edge. The markets were willing to finance the experiment because of their faith in the economic team. But a recent unforced error has made the path to success even more precarious.
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New tax laws complicate the government’s short-term fiscal challenge; credit negative for banks because of increased funding costs.
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Lack of regional liquidity cited as reason for NY IPO listings; strong pipeline in Brazil being dominated by more traditional companies.
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Banco Supervielle is producing market-leading growth and has issued successful international equity and debt transactions, while other second-tier banks are ambitious and growing fast. But not everyone is tuned into the mid-tier banks’ aggressive growth potential.
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Markets buoyed by win that eases path for further reforms; all eyes on investment boost needed for gradual fiscal adjustment.
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Mid-sized banks moving quickly to take advantage of credit growth: focus on organic rather than acquisitive growth could be a positive.
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President Mauricio Macri’s economic inheritance was toxic; his policy of gradual fiscal realignment looks like it will lead to success in this year’s crucial mid-term elections, but the country desperately needs investment to maintain the transition.
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President Mauricio Macri’s success in Argentina’s primary elections suggests that his gradualist approach to reform might be the right strategy after all.
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Volume key for profitability as banking market normalizes; flurry of equity deals to fuel M&A and organic growth.
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Banks see normalization, with credit growth the driver of results; new mortgage product excites the market.
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High-yield sovereign issuer sells a $2.75 billion century bond; bank valuations ‘hyped’ but room still seen to grow.
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Argentina is no longer a name to make international bankers shudder.