January 2015
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LATEST ARTICLES
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The crisis in Ukraine shows no sign of abating and its impact is being felt across the rest of emerging Europe. Phil Bennett, deputy head of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, explains why this is bad news for the region’s companies and what multilaterals can do to help.
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If systemic risk in the banking system really has been reduced as much as chief executives say, why are regulators set to have an even greater impact in 2015?
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Regulation now utterly dominates the banking industry and will have an even bigger impact in 2015, not just on bank capital and returns but on the entire legal structure of the industry.
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The uncertainty for investors over bank litigation extends beyond hits to bank profits and so, potentially, their ability to pay dividends and service coupons on capital instruments and debt.
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As Europe has stagnated since the financial crisis, Russia proved an invaluable source of returns for a handful of lucky western banking groups. But with Putin on the offensive, the rouble on the slide and recession on the horizon, its days as an engine of regional growth look to be over.
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US fines provoke re-assessment; Dollar clearing in Europe considered
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It’s not enough simply to invest in technology infrastructure to bring down costs. Banks need to use digital products and services to reconnect with their customers.
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Goldman invests in big data analytics platform; Deutsche makes key hires in analytics and data.
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M&A needs to be long term; Corporates under pressure to re-lever
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US wealth to reach $54 trillion by 2018; European banks expand their efforts
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The ferocity with which US regulators have pursued HSBC, Standard Chartered, Barclays, ING and most recently BNP Paribas for breaching sanctions, and the seemingly limitless fines violators have been hit with, speaks to a tightening of control and intensive monitoring of dollar clearing.
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A barely noticed bank rescue in the Seychelles should be a warning to all. As the cost of compliance and enforcement risk drives global firms to cut back their correspondent networks, many banks are in danger of losing the vital lifeblood of a dollar-clearing partner.
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“When these large global banks report their risk-weighted capital ratios, their creditworthiness is flattered because of their assessment of risks in the asset base. This is a fools-errand; it’s like asking a school-kid what grade they deserve”
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“If you take into account the deals that people took a run at but didn’t get over the line there has been a staggering increase in activity”
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Did you get a private island for Christmas? No? Poor you. It’s the latest trend. According to Alan O’Connor, director of the Debutesq Group, there has been a surge in enquiries for private islands recently “in particular from wealthy eastern Europeans and resort operators from Asia”.
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Dwindling stocks of Yorkshire tea in Euromoney’s São Paulo office prompted an internet search that turned up Britsuperstore.com – a website that sends British consumables to far-flung nationals desperate to keep on eating or drinking a little taste of England.
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As Christmas approached, a leaked internal memo from RBS’s managing director of branch and private banking, Jane Howard, revealed just how far the UK state-owned bank was prepared to take the season of goodwill.
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Coutts International has plenty of attractive assets to offer its many possible new owners. Julius Baer looks the best fit.
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Middle Eastern sovereign wealth funds had to endure plenty of criticism for their investments in western banks during the financial crisis. They are looking far smarter now.
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When JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon delivered the welcome news to employees that he had been given the all clear after a recent bout of throat cancer, senior managers in attendance rose to applaud.
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Single currency set to cut debt costs; Diversifying trade from rampant Russia
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Time is running out for Italy to make the reforms it needs to produce a self-sustaining recovery.
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African DCM becoming more sophisticated; debt sustainability a concern.
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Sovereign signs up for credit rating; Multilaterals aim to boost banking sector
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Reforms will not require more capital; More challenging year ahead
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Rationing increasingly possible; Stagnant economy slowed consumption
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Corruption scandal stymies bond issues; Lack of supply may set stage for others
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As 2014 came to an end Euromoney Research Group asked corporate funding officials for their views on key topics affecting companies in Central and Eastern Europe. From the fraught situation in Ukraine to plans for seeking international credit ratings, find the exclusive results of the survey here.
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New AT1 deals from Chinese and UK challenger banks; TLAC securities “must appeal to fixed income investors”
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Haunted by the global crisis, policymakers from the US to the UK are erecting national barriers and waging a war against too-big-to-fail banking. Vice-chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp Thomas Hoenig defends the drive toward balkanization.
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From the Volcker Rule to the EU’s proposed ring-fencing, inconsistent rules on bank structures, both within the EU and between the US and Europe, are the latest threat to the global banking model.
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Foreign banks are finding it hard to make their operations in Hungary pay. They say they are still committed to the country. So what will they make of the finance minister’s public call for consolidation?
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US officials are waging a war to promote the leverage ratio as a binding constraint on banks’ capital frameworks, further imperilling strategic planning for cross-border lenders.
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You’d have thought the new CEO of Santander needed little introduction. But Ana Botín’s advisers have played a cannily surgical game… so far.
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As 2015 dawns, senior bankers are still poring over the implications of the Financial Stability Board’s proposals to boost their total loss absorbing capacity (TLAC) to ensure that beyond common equity, Additional Tier 1 capital and Tier 2 subordinated debt, banks still have enough liabilities on which losses can be imposed in the event of a failure so that taxpayers never again have to bail them out.
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Throughout 2014, Euromoney’s Research Group was constantly monitoring the views and opinions of market participants via our benchmark rankings, pulse surveys and Euromoney Country Risk service.
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Judge rules profits must be explained; 28 people to have their email searched.
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Markets ended 2014 beset by fear. Deflation is now a global concern and the doomsayers see rapidly falling commodity prices as the canary in the coalmine. But the nattering nabobs of negativism are wrong.
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Many of South Africa’s leading companies see a once-in-a-generation chance to build businesses across the continent. Banks in South Africa spy an opportunity too, by growing around the region alongside their clients. Can they make the most of it?
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1 – the value in trillions of euros the European Central Bank is planning to expand its balance sheet by to try and revive the flagging eurozone economy.
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Emerging market fixed-income and FX markets are poised for a third year of volatility thanks to a slowing China, strengthening dollar, lower oil prices, and the prospect of a US rate hike. The shortage of investable high yielders, as well as the declining creditworthiness of the likes of Russia and Venezuela, will also bedevil markets.
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Want to see improvements to your town or city? Don’t just rely on municipal budgets. New crowdfunding sources are springing up. The disruptors even have municipal bond markets in their sights.
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A flurry of new deals points to an exciting new business possibility for Apac banks in 2015.
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Some parts of the US market are ‘carnage’; energy bond maturity wall is not due until after 2017.
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Corporate treasurers and asset managers are turning to innovative predictive tools that help identify FX volatility and liquidity opportunities, bankers say. However, not everybody on the buy side is convinced the new solutions are for them.
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Despite depreciation risk next year, amid the global currency war, market players say the battle between RMB offshore financial hubs and trading volumes will go from strength to strength.
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Stock Connect, dark liquidity, Japan's reflationary bid and Beijing's policy direction dominated the Asian equity landscape in 2014 and set the stage for 2015.
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The deadline is approaching for the Basel intraday liquidity rules. But without a defined set of procedures, and concerns around costs, banks are moving forward reluctantly.
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If forthcoming regulation fails to guarantee robust loss-absorbing capacity at central clearing counterparties (CCPs), their increasing systemic importance could usher in a new generation of organizations that are too big to fail.