December 2012
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LATEST ARTICLES
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Published in conjunction with Bradesco and Deutsche Bank
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For some reason, the phrase “Denial is not a river in Egypt” resounds in my mind.
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Some of us have been there before, but all of us have derived a certain childish pleasure from people mistakenly pressing ‘reply all’ to an email, or sending one to everybody asking the most banal of questions. So spare a thought for the hapless Barclays employee who, we presume mistakenly, sent an email recently to the bank’s entire global address book and copied in Sir David Walker, the new chairman, asking about how to book a courier.
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"If you look at the behaviour of many banks even last year, they were in denial over the rising cost of funding. They were still doing loss-making loans in the hope of generating a return by cross-selling other services"
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It seems the UK is home to the worst snitches when it comes to reporting financial crimes.
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World's oldest bank is newest entrant into top tier of government bond underwriting
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"I see UBS is targeting a 15% return on equity. I’m not sure that’s so ambitious: 15% of fuck all surely can’t be that hard"
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In Asia Pacific, Citi’s corporate and investment bank is starting to punch its weight as a broad restructuring, a shift in strategy and much soul-searching begin to bear fruit. Can it establish itself at the top of the investment banking pile?
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Regulators want banks to shrink their investment banking activity and, by introducing rules that make much of it uneconomic, have got shareholders onside. Banks now need to get the business mix of their corporate and investment banking arms right, and get the size of these divisions right. Maybe then they can work out where to invest and even grow. Outside the top tier of investment banks, there’s plenty of reinvention going on.
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The state has been welcoming to western financial institutions reconsidering their Gulf domiciles. But the structure of investment style and regulation in the emirate is a limiting factor on foreign players for now.
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These photos show the New York office of Goldman Sachs and Citi’s headquarters at 388 Greenwich Street shortly before the arrival of Hurricane Sandy. Goldman often brags about its superior risk management – on this evidence, it puts its sandbags where its mouth (and door) is. We can only assume that Citi’s token effort signals a more gung-ho approach under newly appointed chief executive Michael Corbat.
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Angola has all the characteristics of a 21st-century petro-state: an extravagant property market, a corporate sector dominated by government-related entities and, now, a sovereign wealth fund. But can the country afford to embrace Arab Gulf-style state capitalism?
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Memo to all risk management teams: when a trader that has been working at the bank for eight years asks you to explain what an asset is, call the police. Understood?
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The post-Lehman consensus on the framework is under strain, as the US postpones the January 2013 start date, triggering the ire of EU banks. Competing regulatory agendas in Europe only complicate the process further. As hopes dwindle for a global level playing field, Basle Committee chairman Stefan Ingves touts the virtues of the torturous reform drive.
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The decision by UBS to perform elective surgery on its own investment bank can be partly attributed to pressure from bank-stock analysts. It might be premature to hail the dawning of a new age of the analysts, but a group who had become best known for astonishingly inaccurate stock forecasts and fawning attitudes to bank CEOs has at least begun to redeem itself.
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Can Credit Suisse’s newly promoted CEO of Brazil, José Olympio Pereira, maintain his own and his bank’s high standing in equity capital markets? Euromoney interviews Olympio to find out.
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In the past 12 months two global banks have pulled out of equity trading and two European ones have tied up with an independent brokerage to save their ECM businesses. Is the market now poised for fundamental restructuring?
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Italy is profoundly caught up in the eurozone crisis, but unlike its peripheral peers, which remain hostage to the international bond markets, the country is able partly to fund its colossal public debt by drawing on formidable and passionate support at home. Could its eurozone peers do the same?
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Not content with the blossoming pan-Andean financial market, Colombian banks and corporates are looking north to central America for opportunities for growth and as a means to forge a path to the lucrative markets of Mexico and the US.
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Long-suffering shareholders of UBS can take comfort that JPMorgan’s bank-stock analyst Kian Abouhossein feels their pain. Abouhossein, who is consistently at or near the top of industry rankings of bank analysts, has been an owner of UBS shares while he has touted UBS as his number-one bank-stock pick in recent years and produced price forecasts well above the prevailing market value.
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While rivals shut branches to cut costs, new entrant Metro Bank plans to open 200 new offices in London alone. Veteran Vernon Hill is taking retail service back to its roots with dog bowls, coin counters and Metro man toys.
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Brady Dougan is meant to be an excellent manager and people enjoy working for him.
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Value pushed to off-the-run names; Terra Firma hawks jumbo PIK deal
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EDTF adoption might regain investors’ trust; Report deserves credit as private-sector solution
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Hedge funds and private equity grab opportunities; Dromeus launches Greek recovery fund
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Analysts, investors agree move overdue; Moody’s tipped to follow
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€2.5 billion orders for €1 billion deal; Deal underscores appetite for peripheral risk
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Will complicate sovereign debt restructurings; Bond prices fall, CDS prices soar on ruling
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Commitment key to success in samurai; More Latin American issuance likely
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Asia DCM specialists still have their foot on the accelerator, but it might soon be time to hit the brakes.
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New low-yield record created; Transaction ‘changes course of bond history’
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Knowledge gives locals the edge; Deal is too small for internationals
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Potential reform of money market sector is pitting established regulatory bodies against newcomers, with messy results.
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QE has artificially suppressed the yield on government bonds, as it was supposed to, but the unintended consequences of unorthodox monetary policy might be felt for years.
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Finance minister’s balancing act; Seeks to limit impact of eurozone crisis
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Hopes high for PICC deal; AIG commits $500 million
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Intensified property speculation in Dubai is one of the more worrying signs of excessive risk-taking in emerging markets.
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US election builds fragile confidence in equities; Volatility persists
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Creates challenge to other banks; Capital-lite bank suited to low growth
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Stifel Financial buys KBW; M&A muted until banks work out strategy
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Conversion-free notes could be a watershed moment in the repair of European bank balance sheets.
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Pushes for higher bid; Abstains from executive pay vote
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John Hyman named CEO; Jennings refocuses on Africa
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It was the month, rather than the night, of long knives in investment banking this November.
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The US, Japan and Europe will be too cold next year. Manufacturing from emerging economies might be too hot. The result, though, might be just right.
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To the outsider, this reorganization again seems odd.
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The strong performance of UBS shares, since it announced it will radically shrink its investment bank, is heaping pressure on others to follow suit.
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The US Treasury decision to exempt FX swaps and forwards from regulation under the Dodd-Frank Act should not be a surprise to anyone participating in the FX markets.