<b>A super-soft landing still looks most likely</b>
Euromoney, is part of the Delinian Group, Delinian Limited, 4 Bouverie Street, London, EC4Y 8AX, Registered in England & Wales, Company number 00954730
Copyright © Delinian Limited and its affiliated companies 2024
Accessibility | Terms of Use | Privacy Policy | Modern Slavery Statement
BANKING

<b>A super-soft landing still looks most likely</b>

Headline: A super-soft landing still looks most likely
Source: Euromoney
Date: January 2000
Author: David Roche

Nasdaq is still collapsing and there are worries that the US economy could be recession bound as the tech investment boom ends. But I remain optimistic. I reckon the global economy is in for a super-soft landing to sub-3% growth in 2001. Oil prices will stay around $25 a barrel and global inflation will fall, boosting real incomes. Risk appetite will recover. The mini-bear market is almost over.

Last February, I predicted that the next shift in the US economy would be to lower growth and low inflation. This would be volatile for investors and disastrous for dot com investors. But it wouldn’t herald a global equity bear market or global deflation. Indeed, it would raise the curtain on a more sustainable growth rate for the US and the world.

The new economy – including the impact of technology, globalization and rationalization – vaccinates the world against high inflation with the serum of competition. It also drives growth by the transmission chain of new technology creating new products that create new demand. In turn, that makes money for somebody.








Gift this article