Country risk March 2008: Overall results
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Country risk March 2008: Overall results

The US is in danger of dropping out of the top 10 in our semi-annual country risk survey as fears of an economic downturn and an uncertain political future dent analysts’ confidence.

For historical country risk data please visit the Euromoney Country risk website

Research by Hugo Fildes.

Methodology – Overall country risk:

To obtain the overall country risk score, Euromoney assigns a weighting to nine categories. These are political risk (25% weighting), economic performance (25%), debt indicators (10%), debt in default or rescheduled (10%), credit ratings (10%), access to bank finance (5%), access to short-term finance (5%), access to capital markets (5%), and forfaiting (5%).

• Political risk (25% weighting): the risk of non-payment or non-servicing of payment for goods or services, loans, trade-related finance and dividends, and the non-repatriation of capital. Risk analysts give each country a score between 10 and zero: the higher, the better.

• Economic performance (25%): based (1) on results of Euromoney poll of economic projections and (2) on GNI (Atlas Method) figures per capita.

• Debt indicators (10%): calculated using the following ratios from the World Bank’s Global Development Finance 2007. Total debt stocks to GNP (A), debt service to exports (B); current account balance to GNP (C). Developing countries that do not report complete debt data get a score of zero.

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