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Surveys

Country risk poll September 2007: Positive feeling

Despite the fallout from US sub-prime woes, analysts are optimistic about prospects for the global economy, as commodities remain strong. But the US drops out of the top five in Euromoney’s latest country risk rankings. Oliver Hexter reports.

For historical country risk data please visit the Euromoney Country risk website

   The above tables take into account scores for each country's:

   Political risk
   Economic performance
   Debt indicators
   Debt in default or rescheduled 
   Country credit ratings
   Access to bank finance
   Access to short-term finance
   Access to capital markets
   Discount on forfaiting 
    (click on any of the above terms to view the appropriate rating methodology)

Methodology

Country risk and the global economy

OVERALL RATINGS IN this September’s country risk survey reflect increased optimism among analysts polled by Euromoney, despite fears of a worldwide economic slowdown, and concerns related to sub-prime mortgages in the US. The average rating has increased to 50.29, an improvement of 2.41.

Commodity prices are expected to remain strong and continue to boost figures for many countries. For example, in Nigeria violence in the Niger delta is still a risk, but a positive move up the rankings is likely because of increases in oil production and prices.

Average political risk ratings, assessed in a survey of 35 experts, have not shown an increase corresponding with the overall results, and many countries in Latin America, eastern Europe and Asia have divisive internal politics that will discourage investors.

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