Euromoney’s survey shows the pandemic crisis is having both predictable and unexpected effects on economic, political and structural indicators as the world faces the biggest investor shock in living memory.

Global risk subsided in the final months of 2019, according to Euromoney’s country risk survey, as signs of a breakthrough emerged to end the deadlock over the China-US trade dispute, inflation eased, elections delivered more certain outcomes, and policymakers turned to stimulus measures to support economic growth.

Analysts have downgraded countries in the direct fire of trade frictions, along with key emerging markets, such as South Africa and Turkey, with unresolved debt and domestic policymaking problems.

Global investor safety stabilized in Q2, but the failure to improve after Q1 gains highlights the negatives of global protectionism, warn risk analysts.