Brazil’s banks battle credit risk

The country’s banking system seems as solid as ever, but its banks are seeing an uptick in delinquencies that could spin out of control.

While a crisis brought on by liquidity risk has been threatening the US banking system, Brazilian banks have been having an easier time of late. They have navigated the large securities losses generated by a rapid rise in rates – yields in 2026 government securities have risen to 12.5% in early March from 6.3% at the end of the 2020 – but with the majority of the steep rise occurring at the end of 2021, the negative impact on mark-to-market, available-for-sale securities was absorbed during 2022 and 2021.

Few analysts expect a liquidity crisis sparked by losses in these assets similar to what has recently been seen in the US.

Access intelligence that drives action

To unlock this research, enter your email to log in or enquire about access