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Foreign Exchange

Yen (JPY): special focus

Euromoney's latest coverage of the currency.



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Asiamoney best bank awards 2017: Best digital bank – Mizuho

January 2018

Mizuho has convinced a consortium of banks and financial institutions to come along for the ride. Japan Post Bank is the biggest name, but a plethora of regional banks are also expected to participate. Between them, these banks will create a yen-pegged digital currency that consumers can spend with their smartphones.

Asia hubs jostle for share of FX wallet

August 2017

As Singapore reinforces its position as the leading FX trading centre in the Asia Pacific region, Euromoney looks at the prospects for other regional hubs. Order Japan was overtaken by Singapore in FX trading as far back as 2013. But while the business in Tokyo is less diversified than in other Asian trading hubs, Japan appears pretty relaxed about its capital’s dependence on the yen.

Japan: The surprise US election winner

December 2016

Japanese bank stocks have shot up in the wake of the US election result. The reasons have to do with shifting sands in bank regulation.

BoJ changes tack in bid to restore confidence in QE

September 2016

The Bank of Japan has unveiled a new strategy in its fight against persistently low inflation amid concerns its QE and negative interest rates regime wasn't working and may even be hurting the economy. Attention now turns to other global central banks to see if they will change course too.

Don’t believe the currency-war hype on Japan

May 2016

Japan could realize its goal of a weaker yen without the need for FX intervention, say analysts.


Against the tide: Asia will drive the dollar

March 2016

Weaknesses in Japan and Asia will mean a flight to quality.


Country risk: Spike in Japanese risk puts investors in a funk

March 2016

Japan investors-R-600

The sovereign improved last year, but experts have doubts over its economic prospects, and there are political risks from possible snap elections in the summer.


Japan in yen policy crisis

February 2016

All the hard work of Abenomics has been undermined by weeks of frantic trading that has seen the yen appreciate dramatically on safe-haven flows, with QE and even an announcement on negative rates having little impact. The market is now waiting to see if the Bank of Japan has any more tricks up its sleeve.


Old habits die hard as nervous investors flee to the yen

September 2015

yen banknote-R-600

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has worked hard to weaken its currency in recent months and had achieved some considerable success with its quantitative easing (QE) programme, with yen levels at their weakest against the dollar for more than a decade. The global panic after China’s devaluation of the renminbi saw the yen quickly bounce back, but authorities are unlikely to give up.


Japan’s risks raise possibility of further downgrade

September 2015

Abenomics had been designed to rescue Japan from its awful deflationary torpor, but the economy is struggling again and its troubles could become a lot worse if China buckles.


Against the tide: World of the dollar and yen

August 2015

Structural problems and over-leverage mean the focus will switch to Asia for the next global currency moves.

Traditional currency correlations breaking down, warn observers

July 2015

The shift in investor sentiment towards yen eases one of the key constraints on positioning for a core negative JPY view, says RBC.

Oil and Abenomics in the great yen tug of war

January 2015

The yen has been quietly strengthening in recent days, amid renewed concerns about global demand pushing down the price of oil and fresh fears over Europe. If this trend persists, it could be problematic for Japanese prime minister Shinzo Abe, who is closely associated with a policy of yen weakness.

Japanese portfolio flows support weaker yen but raise default risk

November 2014

Long-awaited changes announced last week to the composition of Japan's state pension fund portfolios, combined with increasing flows into foreign – predominantly US dollar – assets from retail investors and the insurance sector, should weaken the yen, but could be storing up problems in the long term.

Yen depreciation back on track after safe-haven strengthening

October 2014

A momentary strengthening of the yen amid market panic coincided with reports the government might be having second thoughts about key planks of the reform agenda – the consumption tax and a weak yen. But analysts insist there has been no change of policy, but pension and energy reforms hold the key.

Economists keep the faith in Abenomics despite Q2 data

August 2014

Japan’s Q2 contraction, thanks to the April sales tax, has exacted a short-term toll on output, but Abenomics – a policy of delivering inflation and shocking the economy into growth – is still on track, say economists.

Japan: Dealers hold JGB positions as volume slumps

March 2014

Amid a sharp slowdown in institutional trading volume of Japanese government bonds, Mizuho Securities and Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities have held their position as the market’s leading dealers.

Diminishing returns from weak yen triggers Abenomics fears

February 2014

Sunday’s win in Tokyo’s gubernatorial election for Abe supporter Yoichi Masuzoe was a fillip to the PM’s economic programme, but faltering exports, weak sequential economic data and a peak in output/inflation suggest the yen needs to be much weaker for Abenomics to play out.

USDJPY could be ready for lift-off

November 2013

The dollar/yen trade is showing signs of breaking higher, but can the Japanese currency maintain its weakening momentum?

Assistant Bank of Japan governor sanguine on consumption-tax impact as fears grow

November 2013

BoJ official defends negative-growth impact of sales tax due in April amid mixed economic data.

Is the yen now the world's premier safe haven?

October 2013

The yen has long been seen as one of the principal safe-haven currencies, and in a world where US politicians flirt with dollar default, some view it as the world’s premier safe haven.

Beware the FX carry trade

October 2013

'The yen should be the ultimate winner if equity market weakness spreads from China to other markets.'

Yen haven bid could return before debt deadline

October 2013

Safe-haven demand for the Japanese yen could return next week, despite the emergence of a more risk-positive tone in global markets, after news that negotiations to extend the debt-ceiling deadline had begun between Republican congressional leaders and the White House.

Shinzo Abe faces up to his toughest battle

September 2013

Prime minister Shinzo Abe’s radical policies have lifted Japan from its slumber. His supporters say he’s slain the deflation dragon. But what tools can he find to win the next fight – a looming fiscal crisis?

Japan: The ifs and buts of Abenomics

September 2013

The Abenomics high might give Japan’s markets a hangover if structural reforms are not implemented.

Brains behind Abenomics urges PM to show his brawn

September 2013

Japanese newspapers often refer to Koichi Hamada as “the brains behind Abenomics”. During a recent visit to Tokyo, the 77-year-old special adviser to Abe spoke frankly to Euromoney not only about Abenomics, but also the character and nationalism of Japan’s prime minister.

Still hope for yen bears to emerge from hibernation

August 2013

Price action in the past few months has been frustrating for yen bears, but the downtrend in the Japanese currency is likely to recapture some of its momentum over the medium term. 

Japan: Abenomics set for next stage as outbound M&A booms

August 2013

Tankan survey turns positive; largest buyer of southeast Asian companies.

Surging yen volumes send FX market turnover to record levels

July 2013

FX trading volumes surged to record levels in April, according to semi-annual surveys from the world’s largest central banks, as the yen market sparked back to life.

US/Japan divergence from Europe highlights G10 risk shift – ECR Q2 2013 results

July 2013

Perceptions of growth, the labour market and fiscal situation have all been enhanced after the Japanese government’s deliberate policy shift, aided by the central bank’s stimulus measures to boost bank liquidity and depreciate the yen to eradicate years of deflation and moribund growth.

Reserve managers reveal penchant for the yen

July 2013

Figures from the IMF show that the world’s reserve managers have built up their holdings in the yen to levels last seen before the collapse of Lehman Brothers.

Japan’s government pension fund shift and yen volatility could boost Europe flows

June 2013

The shift in the asset allocation of the world’s largest public pension funds in favour of foreign stocks and bonds could provide a technical boost for the eurozone, despite recently dashed hopes of Japanese flows.

Yen sellers could find an opportunity amid the mayhem

June 2013

Violent price action during the last 24 hours might suggest the yen-weakening trend has run its course, but once the dust settles it might just have left investors with a better entry-level to sell the Japanese currency.

Rising volatility prompts Japan bond angst

May 2013

The Bank of Japan’s bond-buying plan is bedevilled by contradictions: it seeks to promote financial stability but has triggered inevitable bouts of market volatility. What’s more, the central bank wants low yields and greater inflation expectations. A new communications policy is needed, analysts say.

Yen surge unlikely to faze Japanese corporates

May 2013 

Perfect storm pushes USDJPY through ¥100

May 2013

SNB reveals a penchant for the yen

May 2013

Fears of damaging Japanese inflows into emerging markets yet to materialize

May 2013

Will 2013 be the year of foreign exchange?

May 2013

Bank of Japan’s monetary-easing gambit faces nervous wait
April 2013

Japanese giant has the power to sink the yen

April 2013

Yen weakness only halfway through; G20 meeting should hold little fear for yen bears

April 2013 

Japanese investors yet to jump into the yen mineshaft

April 2013 




Japanese real money flows offer another technical bid for core Europe

April 2013

Bank of Japan delivers yen weakness but reflation a more difficult trick
March 2013

Can Abenomics save Japan’s ECR score from converging with China?
March 2013

Banks and hedge funds hope to profit from currency wars
March 2013

Special focus: Currency wars
March 2013

Market expectations of an uber-dove at the Bank of Japan are overdone
February 2013

Yen slide built on hot air, but Japan’s reflation could have “once in a generation” impact

February 2013

Sterling: turning Japanese

February 2013

Yen exchange-rate misalignments overstated; renminbi a better focus of currency hostilities

February 2013

G7 memo to Japan: don’t mention the currency war

February 2013

Further yen weakness needs action, not words; foreign bond buying needed to extend currency slide

February 2013

Shut up about currency wars already
February 2013

Japan flirts with equity targets to drive a stake in the zombie economy
February 2013


 

Yen sell-off train still waiting for Mrs Watanabe

January 2013

Yen weakness: it’s the current account, stupid

January 2013

Lost in translation: yen weakness enters new phase

January 2013

ESM bond purchase is no back door yen intervention

January 2013

The Japanese model will crumble without hasty intervention
January 2013

Make way for the 'great rotation'

January 2013

Buying dollar-yen: This time it could be different

November 2012

Axel Merk: the yen is doomed

November 2012

Regime shift for the JPY?

October 2012

Sino-Japanese conflict could stop Tokyo from intervening and push yen to record levels

September 2012

BoJ should introduce foreign bond-buying scheme to weaken yen

September 2012

 

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