2012 Treasurers' guide to global risk trends

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Tectonic shift in global risk

Eurozone bank stability remains key focus

Falling Brics

The new frontiers




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> Navigating the new risk landscape
The world is becoming an increasingly risky place to do business. Corporates must adapt to a new risk paradigm, with a greater range of risks to mitigate than ever before. To avoid pitfalls, expertise and a broader understanding of global risk are required. Michael Spiegel, Head of Trade Finance and Cash Management Corporates, Deutsche Bank

> Tectonic shift in global risk
Global risk patterns have altered substantially in recent decades. Whereas once Europe offered comparative safety for treasury operations, today the eurozone crisis has accentuated the risks associated with cash management and supply finance. But while the debt crisis is deepening and infecting other parts of the world, according to Euromoney’s Country Risk Survey, it is not the only factor destabilizing the global outlook

> Eurozone bank stability remains key focus
Far from stabilizing, the risks associated with the eurozone debt crisis are still rising and infecting other parts of the world, as banking sector problems deepen and extend their reach

> SEPA - The clock is ticking
The announcement of the end-date for compliance with the SEPA credit transfer and direct debit has removed any remaining doubt that the initiative will come to fruition. Karsten Becker, Deutsche Bank’s senior product manager for corporate payables and receivables, discusses how corporates can meet the compulsory – and looming – deadline

> The disease is spreading 
The failure of European leaders to stem the debt crisis is contributing to uncertainty, not only across the eurozone, but also in parts of central and eastern Europe and Latin America, where parent banks dominate the local financial scene. But, as Hungary and Argentina both illustrate, the rise in risk cannot be explained by bank stability indicators alone

> Falling Brics
 In sync with the global trend, confidence in the world’s emerging powerhouses has slipped this year, but there is still considerable variation in their individual risk profiles

> The new frontiers
Amid the growing risks affecting banking sectors, currencies, capital repatriation and regulatory systems, new, safer frontiers are emerging





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