The material on this site is for financial institutions, professional investors and their professional advisers. It is for information only. Please read our Terms & Conditions, Privacy Policy and Cookies before using this site. Please see our Subscription Terms and Conditions.


All material subject to strictly enforced copyright laws. © 2021 Euromoney, a part of the Euromoney Institutional Investor PLC.
Opinion

Goldman builds its World Cup book

One piece of analysis that is certain to be a fixture on desks this summer is a 59-page report by Goldman Sachs. In preparation for the football World Cup, which kicks off on June 9 in Germany, Goldman Sachs has put together a guide to each participating country and its team’s chances of success.

German foreign minister Joschka Fischer, UK chancellor of the exchequer Gordon Brown and England team captain David Beckham are among well-known contributers to the guide, sharing their thoughts on football and this year’s tournament.

Combining official Fifa rankings and odds provided by a cast of bookmakers, the investment bank has compiled probability forecasts for each team. The favourite to win the World Cup is Brazil, with a 12.4% probability. Four of its players make Goldman Sachs’s World Cup dream team, which was elected by 2,100 of Goldman Sachs’s employees and clients.

England ranks second most likely to win, with Spain, France, Holland and Argentina close behind – all are forecast to have about an 8% probability of success. Germany, despite enjoying the advantage of being host, is reckoned to have a 5.5% probability of winning, although the report says the team could well make the semi-finals.

You have reached premium content. Please log in to continue reading.

Read beyond the headlines with Euromoney

For over 50 years, our readers have looked to Euromoney to stay informed about the issues that matter in the international banking and financial markets. Find out more about our different levels of access below.

SUBSCRIBE ONLINE TODAY

Unlimited access to Euromoney.com and Asiamoney.com

Expert comment, long reads and in-depth analysis interviews with senior finance professionals

Access the results of our market-leading annual surveys across core financial services

Access the results of our annual awards, including the world-renowned Awards for Excellence

Your print copy of Euromoney magazine delivered monthly

£73.75 per month

Billed Annually

FREE 7 DAY TRIAL

Unlimited access to Euromoney.com and Asiamoney.com, including our top stories, long reads, expert analysis, and the results of our annual surveys and awards

Sign up to any of our newsletters, curated by our editors

LOGIN NOW

Already a user?

We use cookies to provide a personalized site experience.
By continuing to use & browse the site you agree to our Privacy Policy.
I agree