India: special focus
Euromoney's latest coverage of macroeconomic, FX, fixed income and equity market trends in the Asian powerhouse.
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CEO has broader ambitions as firm turns 10; impact investing still modest in Asia but growing.
The 'thinking outside of the sandbox while boiling the ocean' award for corporate speak: State Bank of India.
Arundhati Bhattacharya left big shoes to fill as chair of State Bank of India, but Rajnish Kumar’s arrival has coincided with a handy recapitalization of public sector banks that will help him achieve his main aim.
India receives global attention for its digital innovation as a tool of financial inclusion, but it couldn’t get off the ground without a unique non-profit institution charged with creating the infrastructure.
News broke last week of an intriguing insolvency petition in India: under the new Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, high-profile disputes are now commonplace, but what’s interesting here is it pits a Chinese policy bank against an Indian private-sector corporation.
Recapitalization bonds will repair balance sheets; next step will be writing off bad loans.
India’s biggest fintech has doubled its user base in a year and is on track to have 500 million customers by 2020. It is backed by Ant Financial and Softbank and spurred by state policy on financial inclusion. How far can Paytm go?
Asia’s disparate markets and economies have found common ground in the widespread adoption of digital technology. Starting with consumer clients, expectations are rising up the banking chain and banks need to keep pace.
Singaporean bank adds to Indian franchise, but profitability of new ventures remains some way off.
Awards for Excellence 2017.
Euromoney’s latest Country Risk Survey shows a gradual rebalancing of risk scores this year, as the aftershocks of the global banking and sovereign debt crises wear off, political risks tied to the European electoral cycle fade, and capital access improves for EMs.
The country’s longer-term credentials are unchanged.
Bedding down a six-sided merger domestically; international activity to be 20% of total book in three years.
Whip-smart M&A boutiques and upstart full-service investment banks are making waves in India, profiting from the retreat of global investment banks. But how much further can they go?
April 2017 Senior bankers hail acceleration of digitization; impact felt across financial services industry.
November 8, 2016, will go down in history as the day Donald Trump, a real estate mogul and reality TV host, was elected the 45th president of the United States and leader of the free world – but, in India, it marks a perhaps equally surreal event: demonetization. Can the scrapping of bank notes used in the bulk of the nation’s cash transactions finally catapult this long-time financial laggard into the 21st century?
If this was supposed to be the century of the woman, no one thought to tell the international banking community. One country alone has closed the gender gap, and it happens to be Asia’s fastest-growing large economy. Step forward India, where the top ranks of finance are filled with high-flying women.
Ashish Kumar Chauhan transformed Indian broking not once but twice, co-founding the National Stock Exchange before jumping ship and joining its rival, the Bombay Stock Exchange, which has just completed its IPO. What lies ahead as competition between the two exchanges intensifies?
Scrapping large-tender notes sparks panic; ‘black economy’ crackdown prompts cash squeeze.
Pity Arvind Subramanian – he has a tough enough job as it is as chief economic adviser to the government of India without further distraction.
ICICI Prudential Life reinvigorates IPOs; slew of smaller listings ready to follow.
An extraordinary revolution is taking place in digital banking in India. Driven by the state, it is anchored on a billion-strong biometric database to finally bring financial inclusion to a country that needs it more than any other. Banks may face a binary outcome: be quick or be dead. Understanding India’s push into biometrics
From Aadhaar to iSPIRT – your guide to Indian biometrics.
Technology is finally bringing banking services to the unbanked in both developing and developed markets. While technology companies are driving this transformational shift, it looks increasingly likely that traditional banks will ultimately be service providers. They have everything to gain if they can form partnerships and create a long-term strategy.
Arundhati Bhattacharya already had one of the toughest jobs in India as chairman of State Bank of India. Not only is it the country’s largest financial institution, but it is also woven inextricably into India’s social fabric. She has made her job harder still by proposing a seven-sided bank merger. But as technological innovation increases and as asset quality plunges across public banks, bigger may not necessarily be better.
Arundhati Bhattacharya is an SBI veteran: she joined in 1977.
Yes Bank, started just 12 years ago, is one of India’s fastest growing lenders – and the most interesting by far. Its founder and CEO sits down with Euromoney to discuss risk management, cost cutting, divine intervention and why he doesn’t do the ‘wow’ factor.
All eyes are on the expected appointment of a new Reserve Bank of India governor, but nobody is quite clear why there needs to be a new one.
HDFC launches first corporate masala bond; others may be slow to follow.
Its sovereign risk score has eased back this year as doubts begin to creep in, but India remains worthy of investment grade.
DBS’s launch of a new digital bank in India provides a test case for a branchless model of banking in Asia that will influence a dozen other markets in the years ahead.
China is well on the way to creating a global currency, with a little help from the IMF. But what of India, the other economy set to dominate the 21st century? Will the rupee come to rival the renminbi and the dollar, or will poor planning and weak infrastructure undermine its ambitions?
Private banking: Ways to win with India’s wealthy February 2016
India has been a tough market for global wealth managers, ground down by rising costs and regulation. But private wealth is growing fast, offering long-term profit for those with patience and persistence.
ECM re-emerges from lengthy slump; foreign investors jump on slew of mid-sized IPOs.
"Income shocks have been the name of the game for emerging Asia in 2016. Not everybody has suffered. India is the big winner."
India: Rajan reveals Masala bond rules November 2015
Annual cap of $750 million, five-year maturity; corporates, real estate and investment trusts can issue.
India’s prospects stand out among the larger EMs as one of the fastest-growing economies worldwide.
Although India lags China in terms of its economic development, and is vulnerable to shifting market sentiment, its growth is expected to be stronger than China’s, and its external risks have eased.
The results of the latest Euromoney Country Risk quarterly survey saw India’s risk score rise 0.61 points. Year-on-year, the score is up by an impressive 2.72 points. With a score of 52.74, the country sits at 56 in the global ECR rankings. ECR asked two experts for their opinions on the reasons behind the improvement.
A number of eye-catching deals in the Indian market in 2015 are creating excitement for bankers about the potential pipeline of deals this year.
The feelgood factor from the election of Narendra Modi as prime minister does not seem to be translating into better fees for IPO bankers – yet.
Reserve Bank of India governor Raghuram Rajan is battling inflation and crony capitalists to open a new chapter in the Asian superpower’s growth story. Rajan – Euromoney’s central bank governor of the year 2014 – reveals his blueprint for reforms and issues a stark warning about the cracks in the global economy.
Reserve Bank of India governor Raghuram Rajan’s tough monetary medicine combatted the storm ravaging the deficit-ridden economy in the recent emerging market crisis. Now, he is battling vested interests to arouse a sleepy financial system for over one billion people.
A lack of international monetary policy coordination and efforts to beef up the IMF to reflect the newfound clout of emerging markets (EMs) raises the risks of trade protectionism and market volatility, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) governor Raghuram Rajan tells Euromoney.
In exclusive interviews, leaders of Indian finance reveal how banks, nursing wounds from the recent credit boom, should be set free from the shackles of state control, as reformists raise hopes of a new dawn for Indian capitalism. A jolt, not a tweak, to the financial system is desperately needed.
Even in a bullish scenario where a Rajan-Modi dream team unleashes reforms – from PSL to the bond market – in an economic super-cycle that sees public lenders recapitalized, foreign investment banks could still be chasing rainbows in India. It is an over-banked market, with dozens of fee-hungry institutions jockeying for business.
India needs a litany of reforms to unshackle its stalled capitalist project. Modi’s government should take inspiration from the paradox of Singapore’s activist state and strong private sector.
Brics bank: requiem for a dream September 2014 Incensed by their failure to reform, Brics policymakers have established a flawed rival to the World Bank and IMF. Rhetoric aside, the west dismisses emerging-market dissent over the broken financial architecture at its peril.
UAE/India debate: Trade and investment corridor booms September 2014 The economic ties between the UAE and India have gone from strength to strength in recent years and are set to deepen further. The UAE not only offers India the promise of investment in its creaking infrastructure, but a compelling investment environment for Indian companies and a staging post for expansion. Conversely, Asia’s third largest economy offers Arab companies growth opportunities.
The sovereign’s fortunes are still improving since the sell-off last year sent the rupee spiralling downwards. With India now back on investors’ radar, Euromoney’s Country Risk Survey contributors offer their thoughts on what lies ahead.
The world’s biggest democracy saw its risk score improve in the lead up to the elections, which might be the start of an upward trend.
A new government could herald a more lucrative time for investment bankers in India.
After the rupee’s spirited rally in line with the ascent of newly installed Indian prime minister Narendra Modi, analysts say rising US yields could undercut the currency, while others claim strong equity inflows and an improvement in the current account suggest appreciation for the rest of the year.
International companies are less likely to invest in India than Iran due to the seemingly more onerous regulatory and tax regime of the world’s largest democracy, according to a pulse survey conducted by Euromoney.
Treasury professionals of companies with combined annual sales of more than $250 billion have voted China, India and Russia as the worst countries to repatriate company funds from, according to Euromoney’s ‘trapped cash’ pulse survey.
Brazil, India, Indonesia, South Africa and Turkey have more in common than macroeconomic numbers.
Although market players discern substantial differences between the fragile-five economies – notably in their current-account profiles – they remain, as a group, especially vulnerable to domestic and international market shocks, says bearish analysts.
Emerging-market assets have fallen thanks to domestic policy risks, rather than Fed-tapering fears, triggering market contagion, as Turkey and Argentina lurched into crisis mode. However, India’s economic rebalancing shows the way forward for EMs out-of-market favour.
India is waning due to its political uncertainties, lagging reforms, slow growth and currency weakness boosting debt.
Raghuram Rajan, the new head of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), has his work cut out to turn around the fortunes of India’s economy, with the rupee coming under renewed pressure, having staged a brief recovery immediately following his appointment.
Concerns are mounting about the risks to India’s financial health posed by a growing shadow banking sector that has helped fund a decade-long investment-fuelled consumption and investment boom.
Among EM currencies, Morgan Stanley’s strategists named India’s rupee, South Africa’s rand, the real, rupiah and lira the “fragile five”. Still, investors should beware tarring all five with the same brush, some analysts say.
The Indian rupee is likely to remain under pressure despite central bank efforts to slash spot dollar demand, including lending dollars from its reserves to state-run oil companies, but analysts are split over its prospects for the rest of the year.
With India’s faltering economy lurching from bad to worse the country’s central bank governor-designate has his work cut out to tackle problems ranging from a falling currency and high inflation to urgently needed structural reforms.
India’s ECR score hits a three-year low as spiking inflation and a plunging rupee exact a heavy economic toll at a time of fragile growth.
The Brics economies are all experiencing difficult growing pains, but India is probably most at risk of being left behind, afflicted by slowing growth and a raft of legacy structural problems it failed to tackle in the good times.
Competition in India remains fierce.
India’s budget offers real scope for narrowing the budget deficit and is credit positive for the sovereign, according to analysts.
India’s growing stature on the global stage was underlined recently as French president François Hollande, hotly pursued by UK prime minister David Cameron, invaded the subcontinent with armies of businessmen and assorted senior officials.
Finance minister Palaniappan Chidambaram has battled valiantly to feed the nimble elephant that is the Indian economy at its best, restarting its stalled fiscal and liberalization agenda. But market expectations are sky-high ahead of the election year and recent evidence that the economy has run out of steam.
As the country enters a crucial election cycle, fears arise about the government's ability to stay on course with its all-important fiscal consolidation.
India offers hope for jaded western investors.
India’s business leaders are increasingly concerned about the will of its political elite to drive economic growth. They see a country trapped between its past and its present, and a financial system that is quickly losing its reputed potential to be a leading global market. What can stop the rot?
Rising levels of obesity have produced an epidemic of diabetes in India. But there is no part of the country more bloated than its bureaucracy and less healthy than its legal system.
Cutting deficit seen as urgent; more FDI for retail, aviation, power exchanges and broadcasting.
India’s new market reforms and privatization drive have started a debate about whether Asia’s third-largest economy is poised for a rebound.