May 2011

Belarus: Russia crucial to quashing devaluation fears

Current account deficit key economic weakness; Government spending promises add to woes


As Euromoney went to press there was widespread speculation that Belarus would be forced to devalue the rouble for the second time in as many years, amid a spiralling current account deficit and dwindling FX reserves.

Russian financial assistance is likely to play a key role in Belarus avoiding devaluation and a possible sovereign debt default. However, any funding from Moscow is likely to come with strings attached and might lead to prize Belarusian assets falling into Russian hands. Belarus is seeking a $1 billion loan from Moscow and $1.7...


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