We have become used to this new era of low, falling and synchronized inflation in developed markets and emerging markets, and so the financial system’s allocations are geared to low inflation and no inflation surprises. If investors all have to shuffle their asset allocation in response to an inflation shock, there is just no way they can do that. It would cause havoc in the market.”
So warns Elina Ribakova, deputy chief economist at the Institute of International Finance (IIF), adding that the chance that the growth in the use of quantitative easing in emerging markets might be the source of such inflation-led havoc is “an unlikely scenario”.
Access intelligence that drives action
To unlock this research, enter your email to log in or enquire about access