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February 11 was supposed to be so much fun for Anil Ambani. The billionaire younger son of the late Indian industrialist Dhirubhai had just floated his latest investment vehicle on the Mumbai stock exchange. Reliance Power’s stock sale was a cracker: sold in less than 60 seconds, its mid-January roadshow was a whopping 73 times subscribed, sucking huge chunks of liquidity from the system. Investors scrambled to buy paper linked to India’s latest infrastructure play – a company so shiny new that its valuation is based on a dozen huge power plants that won’t come online until 2012. Yet Ambani’s party, held at his plush Mumbai residence, turned out to be more wake than celebration. In the few weeks since Reliance Power’s roadshow, India’s markets tanked. The local benchmark Sensex index lost more than 20% in the five weeks to February 12. Several infrastructure-related IPOs were also pulled in early February, including Indo-Dubai real estate joint venture Emaar MGF, whose initial stock sale was slightly less than 90% subscribed when it was pulled.

Will the long-awaited recovery in the German real estate market be stopped in its tracks by turmoil in the debt markets? Louise Bowman reports.

The effects of the sub-prime crisis are spreading and could cost 2.5% of world GDP. Emerging market economies will not be immune.

Country Risk: Overall results

The California Public Employees’ Retirement System is putting $350 million with smaller managers. The $240 billion fund is putting $150 million with emerging manager fund of funds FIS Group. It is the scheme’s first allocation to emerging long-only managers. FIS Group was set up in 1996, and its emerging manager fund of funds allocates to small investment management entrepreneurs that usually fall below the radar screens of large institutional investors. The maximum assets under management of managers will be $2 billion from around the world. Calpers will also be putting $200 million into Redwood Investment Management.

Understanding the mark-to-market meltdown

New accounting rules designed to improve transparency and disclosure were bound to increase noise on financial institutions’ balance sheets. But now they are adding to the credit crunch.

The reporting season in the Middle East this year has been an incongruous affair. There has been record revenue growth as the economic boom continues but some banks have had to be content with much smaller growth in their profits.

Two of the leading banking groups in central and eastern Europe, Austria’s Raiffeisen International and Italy’s UniCredit, have demonstrated that there is continued investor appetite for structured finance assets from the region with the launch of pioneering transactions.

From a subsidiary of an English public school to a UAE migrant labour camp: diversification can hardly be said to be lacking at Evolvence Capital. The Dubai-based alternative investment group is reportedly planning to market bonds backed by commercial mortgages worth up to $700 million in order to kick-start a $1 billion Reit. Aside from a migrant labour camp, the Reit, the company’s first, will also contain a warehouse and offices. Evolvence is apparently aiming for the CMBS to be sold in the fourth quarter.

The downward curve on Reliance Power’s post-launch stock price chart (see India: Reliance Power unplugged by inconstant investors, Euromoney, March 2008) wasn’t the only graphic shocker in India last month. In a single week in early February, three Indian corporates – Wockhardt Hospitals, real estate firm Emaar MGF and SVEC Constructions – pulled their IPOs. The lack of demand for their paper among every class of investor was stunning. Emaar’s $1.64 billion stock sale performed best but was subscribed just 0.83 times. Investors were even more Scrooge-like with SVEC’s tiny $10 million sale, which was only a quarter covered. But pity poor Wockhardt, whose $165 million was subscribed a pitiful 0.15 times on the institutional investor side, and just 6.44% among qualified institutional buyers.

Volatility creates opportunities but, in the case of some strategies, high levels can be lethal. Helen Avery talks to the founder of CTA Pirates of Profit about how risks need to be fully understood.