Welcome to zombie Britain Mr Carney
A slight improvement in the UK’s economic outlook cannot mask the challenges facing the BoE’s new governor.
He arrives at a time when the macro data is improving, the economy is seemingly heading in the right direction.
That’s the good news. The bad news is that he will find a household sector riddled with debt and overly leveraged towards a housing market that appears to be overvalued; a hawkish and wobbly coalition government struggling to rein in the nation’s public deficit; a corporate sector refusing to invest, with some parts surviving only thanks to low interest rates; and a banking system that is partly functioning, undercapitalized, and lacks competition. So, welcome to zombie Britain.
Such structural headwinds are of course immense, but there is optimism that Carney can help and change is almost certainly afoot.