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China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

June 2009

Euromoney 40th anniversary special: Focus on NuVerse Advisors


Bridging the gap between investment and advice.


IN 1998, ELIAS Saal, president of Republic Bank, then the 13th-largest bank in the US, was invited to the office of a well-known hedge fund manager. The enormously successful fund needed capital. Yet not one of the great financial minds running it could explain the strategy or the risk in a simple manner. "I left that meeting knowing that the firm would receive no credit from Republic," says Saal. Three months later the same fund lost $4.6 billion. It was the way of Republic Bank – consistently heralded as the most creditworthy and best-capitalized bank in the US. Credit analysis was the bank’s core competency and it had a conservative stance towards credit loans....


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