China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

Euromoney’s 2012 FX survey results

Euromoney’s 2012 FX survey results

Access the results now

June 2007

Debt markets: Too close for comfort?

Amid the fallout from the US sub-prime sector collapse, investors are once again questioning the role of the ratings agencies. It’s not just that the agencies assessed the risks so badly; their harshest critics suggest the main cause for concern is that the raters are too cosy with the issuers on which they pass judgment. Alex Chambers reports.


WHO ARE THE smartest operators in global capital markets? Hedge funds? Private equity firms? Investment bankers?

Guess again. There’s only one sector in financial services able to offer a return on equity in excess of 50% while putting zero capital at risk: the rating agency industry. But all is not well in the rating industry: the decline of the US sub-prime sector has thrown into sharp relief the inherent conflict of interest at its heart.

Rating agencies such as Moody’s Investors Service, Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings should be perceived as independent third parties; increasingly they are not. The conflict of interest is obvious: those that they theoretically serve – investors – do not pay directly for the service received. These conflicts of interest cast a shadow over credit ratings, and there are fears that fixed-income capital markets are less efficient because of them. And the problem...


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