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China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

China’s $1.7 trillion hangover

Up to 40% of China’s $1.7 trillion LGFV loans are at high risk of default. What’s a panicking Beijing to do?

February 2004

Elliott Associates' aggression captures low-risk returns

by Felix Salmon

Elliott Associates' founder Paul Singer learnt the hard way that good investment returns can only be achieved consistently if hedging is rigorously applied and opportunities to add value ruthlessly pursued. Felix Salmon reports.


NEWS CLIPPINGS ABOUT Elliott Associates suggest that it is a super-aggressive vulture investor. It picks fights with major corporations (Procter & Gamble), US federal court judges (in a high-profile asbestos case), and even entire nations (Peru). Anne Krueger, the first deputy managing director of the IMF, has denounced the fund, alleging that it has undermined the entire structure of sovereign finance.

Ask its investors about Elliott, though, and you'll get a very different story. Over the course of its 27 years of managing money, Elliott has never returned more than 25% in any given year; its compound annual return is a respectable 14.1%. The fund is so cautious that some investors left during the stock market bubble, seeking higher returns from more aggressive managers. They generally returned, chastened, after the bubble burst.

Sophisticated investors tend to be particularly impressed by Elliott, whose proudest achievement is that over...


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