Securitization: RMBS gears up for windfall

A deep and sustainable private-label RMBS market has always eluded the US thanks to the insuperable competitive advantage enjoyed by the GSEs; that could change if plans to remove these guarantees for higher-risk mortgages go ahead.

Residential mortgages have always dominated securitization. In 2006, there was an astonishing $1.28 trillion of RMBS issuance in the US, a figure that fell to a post-crash low in 2012 of around $30 billion.

Volumes have picked up since then, and RMBS-related issuance is forecast to reach $100 billion in 2019, up from $86 billion in 2018, according to Standard & Poor’s. However, the market is still a shadow of its former self.

The banks still dominate mortgage lending, but not nearly to the extent that they used to.

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