How the markets now run Brazil

Bankers and investors are increasingly confident that the country’s next president will adopt a programme of fiscal reforms, even though no leading candidates are standing on that platform. Why? Because over the past decade, Brazil has become a ‘marketocracy’.

Illustration: Barry Downard

Brazil’s democracy has added a new feature in the last few years: people can vote for a president, but the markets retain the right to deploy an ‘impeachment put’ if that president is messing up the economy. For proof, look no further than the fate of former president Dilma Rousseff. Her impeachment in 2016 was legally based on fiscais pedaladas (accounting irregularities). That she was almost alone among powerful politicians not to be cited in the sweeping Lava Jato corruption enquiry was not enough to save her.

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