Against the tide: High price of the risk rally

The financial markets rally cannot be maintained because there is no way we can go back to the bubble economy of the past that was gorged by excess leverage. Far from being unwound, this has been sustained by governments.

The jumbo rally in risk assets continues. New post-crisis highs in equity and commodity prices are reached every week. It’s blue skies ahead. But I remain in the camp of the worried. This rally is not sustainable. It is driven by expectations of a quick and durable recovery in economic growth and fuelled by government support for asset prices and leverage.

The rally in risk assets is unsustainable because the markets’ view of a V-shaped economic recovery will be disappointed.

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