Against the Tide: It’s not even half-time for the credit crisis

More assets are yet to be hit in the credit crisis and, as leverage continues to fall out of play, liquidity will keep on drying up. Equity prices are bound to fall still further too.

The credit crisis is not over. The move by the Federal Reserve to flood the US credit market with liquidity through its new-fangled term auction facility and term securities lending facility is innovative in its attempt to get credit markets moving again. However, it will fail. The depth of the defaults and the breadth of the crunch are too big for the Fed to absorb.

Indeed, in terms of the hit to the capital of the financial institutions that have invested in the great global asset-backed securities boom, we are not even halfway through the crunch.

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