Regional Country risk: Eastern Europe

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It could be the perfect storm – financial, macroeconomic and geopolitical risk are all on the rise. Risk is both where you anticipate it, and where you least expect it.

But according to analysts taking part in Euromoney’s semi-annual survey of country risk, the places getting safer are those riding the oil boom or at last exploiting the vast potential of their people and their economies.

The Middle East, despite its political dilemmas, remains on a steady upward path. And it’s no surprise to see Brazil, Russia, India and China rising up the ranks.

For a safe haven, the traditional destinations of Luxembourg, Switzerland and the Nordic region remain unbeatable.

Our next survey, to be published in March 2009, will show the impact of a new US president, unrest in the Caucasus, the government bail-out of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and other shocks as yet unknown.

Full results Methodology

Regional breakdown

Western Europe North America
Middle East Latin America
Eastern Europe Caribbean
Australasia Asia
Africa

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Eastern Europe
Corruption Country Corruption Overall Sept ‘07 Diff in
adjusted adjusted risk global risk rank
rank score (100) score (100) rank with CPI
24 Slovenia 86.25 82.94 26.00 2
36 Czech Republic 77.97 73.14 38.00 2
39 Slovak Republic 76.36 71.38 39.00 0
43 Poland 74.70 69.89 43.00 0
48 Estonia 70.35 66.70 47.00 –1
50 Hungary 69.48 66.43 48.00 –2
49 Lithuania 69.66 64.84 52.00 3
52 Russia 67.91 63.06 53.00 1
58 Croatia 62.49 58.73 57.00 –1
57 Romania 62.83 58.33 58.00 1
62 Latvia 61.54 58.28 59.00 –3
59 Bulgaria 62.49 57.64 62.00 3
69 Azerbaijan 58.96 53.20 71.00 2
78 Macedonia (FYR) 52.81 48.33 80.00 2
81 Ukraine 51.81 47.84 81.00 0
85 Albania 49.84 46.01 84.00 –1
82 Armenia 50.63 45.12 85.00 3
83 Georgia 50.49 44.61 88.00 5
94 Belarus 47.22 42.76 95.00 1
99 Montenegro 46.19 42.27 98.00 –1
103 Bosnia–Herzegovina 44.40 40.91 106.00 3
124 Serbia 39.89 36.55 126.00 2
126 Moldova 39.72 36.52 128.00 2