Philippines: Oil and rice undo hard work

It was all going so well. In the past three years the Philippines has been the poster child of emerging markets fiscal policy, turning a crippling deficit into an almost balanced budget. But having done all the hard work, its achievements might all be derailed, thanks to the soaring oil price and rising food prices.

Margarito Teves, finance secretary for the Philippines

“The issue of balancing the budget is not a sacrosanct goal at this point in time. Some of these things are really beyond our control”
Margarito Teves

It’s worth recalling just how bad things once were in the Philippines. In 2004, government debt was equivalent to 79% of GDP, and interest payments on that debt were consuming 37.3% of all revenues. That meant that more than one-third of all incoming money, in a poor country battling a host of challenges from El Niño to the oil price, was going straight to banks, rather than to roads or education.

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