Global markets: Equities outlook turns on the US consumer

A series of rate increases by major central banks means that the equity markets can no longer rely on the excess liquidity in financial markets for support.

As earnings growth slows, the key driver of global equity markets will increasingly be the global macroeconomic picture and the direction of interest rate movements, although the M&A boom, which is expected to last, will play a supporting role.

“In terms of global demand we’re past the peak already,” says Thierry Cantet, senior European strategist at SG Corporate and Investment Bank. “While we still expect growth this year to be stronger than in 2005, this is down to the exceptional first half.

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