Bond Outlook January 4th

Inherent sustainability or a recovery so dependent on debt that a major adjustment is overdue. How vulnerable everything is because the economy never followed a post-bubble cure five years ago.


Bond Outlook
[by bridport & cie, January 4th 2006]

The New Year has begun with views as divided as ever over whether US GDP expansion is real and sustainable, or merely a spending spree dependent on Chinese and Japanese vendor financing, together with mortgage equity withdrawal. We, of course, side with the latter view, taking seriously the seeds of long-term problems being sewn by the lack of US investment in productive assets and debt-based spending at all levels.

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