Linkers seek new direction

The inflation-linked market has unexpected pockets of demand, few natural issuers and an unusually close relationship between derivatives and bonds. But it works. Banks now need to work out where the next set of structural demand will come from and how to position themselves to profit from it. Katie Martin reports

WHEN ITALY JOINED the e70 billion European inflation-linked bond market last year with a five-year issue, investors welcomed the move and banks highlighted it as a trigger for a wave of new interest in the instruments.

But the success of the deal was not driven by demand for five-year inflation in itself. Rather, because so many market participants had been using inflation-linked derivatives, they needed to hedge their exposure with five-year paper. That meant that derivatives desks were among the most active buyers of the bonds.

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