Dollar fall will continue

Long-term themes, such as the US current account deficit and output gap, have caught the forex market's attention and will be crucial to the dollar exchange rate. Lara Rhame reports

GLOBAL CAPITAL REALLOCATION will be a central theme in the foreign exchange markets for many quarters to come, at times eclipsing the fundamentals driving relative economic growth. That means a lower dollar, and big changes for some other currencies.

For some time, fundamental analysts have been writing about long-term themes such as capital flows and current account imbalances that would eventually move the big three currencies a great deal when markets finally noticed them. They have now.

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