Betting on survival

How do you pick winners among the disorderly rabble of hedge funds, especially now that some of the greatest market wizards of all time have lost their nerve? Soros and Robertson have left the game. Macroeconomic models no longer convince. Yet armies of the true, non-directional, or market-protected, hedge fund managers are attracting new investors. And some traditional managers are copying their game. Isn't the industry becoming too respectable? David Shirreff reports

    In April, two of the greatest gunfighters in hedge fund history said they were throwing in the towel. George Soros announced he had decided to turn his mighty Quantum Fund, after 30 years of spectacular growth, into an endowment fund for his charity work. His star dealer, Stanley Druckenmiller, admitted that the game was over: “We just overstayed our welcome,” he was quoted as saying, “we thought it was the eighth inning, but it was the ninth.”

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