Japan: Tall tales about T-bills

In an uncertain world, one thing is clear. Persistent rumours that a displeased or desperate Japan will cause financial mayhem by suddenly offloading its US government bond holdings is nonsense. This possibility is so universally reject by informed market participants that it's hard to see how it ever gained any credibility.

Foreign holders of US treasuries, June 1998
$ bn (%)
United Kingdom

264.7

21.2

Japan

264.1

21.2

Germany

95.0

7.6

Opec countries

49.8

4.0

Spain

47.4

3.8

China

45.2

3.6

Hong Kong

39.5

3.2

Singapore

34.7

2.8

Netherlands Antilles

32.5

2.6

Taiwan

30.9

2.5

Switzerland

24.9

2.0

France

22.1

1.8

Belgium/Luxembourg

21.8

1.7

Mexico

20.7

1.7

Canada

13.0

1.0

Korea

11.4

0.9

Thailand

10.8

0.9

Others

218.9

17.5

Total

1247.4

100.0

Source: US treasury department

In an uncertain world, one thing is clear. Persistent rumours that a displeased or desperate Japan will cause financial mayhem by suddenly offloading its US government bond holdings is nonsense. This possibility is so universally reject by informed market participants that it’s hard to see how it ever gained any credibility.

“I don’t think Japanese holders dumping US government paper is a valid scenario,” says Kathy Matsuil, Goldman Sachs’s chief strategist in Tokyo.

Access intelligence that drives action

To unlock this research, enter your email to log in or enquire about access