World Government Bond Forecasts: Canada

A FORECAST BY CIBC WOOD GUNDY

Macroeconomic outlook

The Canadian economy is now back on the rails after several quarters of stagnation. Robust employment growth over the last quarter, together with signs of a pick-up in the US economy, point to accelerating GDP growth over the second half of this year and into 1997 (Chart 1). While fiscal policy will continue to act as a major drag on domestic spending, there should be sufficient momentum from exports, and stimulus from monetary policy, to support 2.0%

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