China’s looming NPL crisis

Sudip Roy
Published on:

China’s banks are lending a hand to support the government’s efforts to stimulate the economy. But do they risk losing an arm and a leg if the economy fails to grow as expected? Sudip Roy reports from Beijing.

Sub-prime, China style
Chinese banking: The search for fees
China Life toughs out volatile markets
Zhu Min, Bank of China: What China’s banks have learned from the crisis

LEVERAGE IS BACK – at least in China. In just the first two months of the year, China’s banks advanced a mind-boggling Rmb2.7 trillion ($390 billion) of new loans. That amounts to more than 10% of China’s GDP.

The banks aren’t finished yet. Prime minister Wen Jiabao has set a new loan growth target of Rmb5 trillion for 2009 to support his government’s Rmb4 trillion economic stimulus package, which was announced last November. It’s enough to make the west’s leaders cast an envious eye towards Beijing as they struggle to encourage their banks to increase new loans.

The lending spree in China, however, has reignited concerns about an issue that has...