Tuesday, November 25, 2008
US treasury market – The solution: more incentives to lend, steeper financial penalties for failing to deliver
Jonas says: From a macroecononic perspective, the Fed has to be annoyed. The repo market is not here to help dealers make money. Its how the Fed implements monetary policy. Perhaps, the Treasury will finally crack the whip. It might have to.
The Treasury was forced to reopen some notes in the first week of October, a response which is credited with reducing fails to the reported $1.3 trillion. Such drastic action was also taken following 9/11 when cumulative fails to deliver in treasuries hit $1.3 trillion from just $1.7 billion the week before. The Treasury responded with a snap auction that brought daily average fails back down to $63 billion by November that year. At that time, Treasury under-secretary Peter Fisher warned that such responses would not happen again and that the market should resolve the issue itself, although he admitted never is a long...