Under normal circumstances there is a strong correlation between the price of commodities and the strength of a commodity-linked currency. As we have previously reported, when crude oil prices weakened in late 2018 the Australian and Canadian dollars both experienced double digit falls.
But a JPMorgan research note published on May 7 pointed to a significant decoupling of commodity FX (based on a basket of currencies that includes AUD, NZD, CAD, NOK, BRL, RUB, ZAR, CLP, COP, PEN, and MXN) from commodity prices this year.
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