Is Argentina headed for the rocks?

The rhetorical battle between Argentina’s government, the IMF and bondholders is heating up but the bigger – largely ignored – issue appears to be the country’s looming financial collapse.

As the IMF negotiating team arrived in Buenos Aires on February 12, comments from the Argentine government and the central bank led to sharp price movements of the sovereign’s debt – both in hard and local currency. However, while the market’s focus is on the issues surrounding a debt relief agreement that is “sustainable”, there is a surprising lack of debate about the fact that the economy – on its current trajectory – is itself completely unsustainable and headed for a sharp crisis.

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