Bond Outlook September 19th

Bernanke has put sticking plaster on the wound, a necessary but insufficient move. The problems of overspending and housing remain, and the immediate credit crisis has yet to be solved.

Bond Outlook [by bridport & cie, September 19th 2007]

The essential first aid has been applied, brandy has been given to the victim, who has shown signs of life. Are those signs – the surge in stock markets – really evidence of a full recovery? Alas, no, for the underlying wounds have not been addressed:

  • US households must eventually match revenues to expenditure as otherwise this will just be another turn of the wheel before it falls off altogether
  • The bubble in housing must continue to deflate, i.e.

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