Japanese structured credit: Don’t believe the spike

The consensus among structured credit bankers in Tokyo seemed to be that the local market’s reaction to the US sub-prime mortgage crisis was initially more dramatic than it needed to be.

Japan’s structured credit market holds its breath

The benchmark for investor perceptions of credit quality in Japan, the iTraxx Japan index, certainly registered a spike as the global repricing of credit developed. Having been stable at around 19-20 basis points for the first half of 2007, it widened steadily throughout July, hit a peak of 42bp in August and has been volatile ever since. Now initial optimism—based on Japanese investors’ tendency to avoid risky sub-prime based assets—is giving way to concern as credit problems become liquidity problems and assets unrelated to US mortgages start to suffer.

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