Bond Outlook October 3rd

One of the financial market problems, bank illiquidity, is slowly being solved. However, the US economy is facing slowdown or recession. We hope the rest of the world will cope.

Bond Outlook [by bridport & cie, October 3rd 2007]

For those of us who view the recent stock market rally with bemusement, there are two very real issues threatening the US economy for the rest of the year: the liquidity crisis and the underlying economy. Let us consider each in turn.

There are signs of a modest return in bank liquidity. The spread of 3 month USD Libor over T bills is still at about 120 bps (compared with 40 earlier this year), but it is settling down.

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