Sub-prime contagion: Guilty by association

The sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US will feed through to mortgage markets elsewhere as share prices plummet and borrowing costs soar.

Like measles, financial distress has a nasty habit of spreading. And the repeated protestations by mortgage originators that the problems in the US sub-prime market will not spread elsewhere could be an expression more of hope than experience. It is hard to see how the US prime market can remain unaffected: with 90-day-plus arrears now running at 25% in the US sub-prime sector it is inevitable that there will be a surge in distressed housing sales.

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