Credit outlook: Analysts turn their clocks back

Banks’ predictions for 2007 are remarkably similar to those of a year ago.

Few in the markets will argue that the performance of debt and credit markets during 2006 was as it was expected to be. At the beginning of the year global economies were strong; interest rates were at historically low levels, spreads were tight and there had been substantial growth in all types of securities. It was generally felt that the only way to go was down, and so there was a torrent of negative predictions for the year ahead.

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