Conclusion: The ultimate bubble?

Is the post-Goldilocks crash inevitable? Charles Dumas looks at an alternative scenario, where the bubble refuses to burst.

World Economic Forum special report: Contents

If the savings-glut chickens are finally coming home to roost, why no market crash? Some possibilities:

  • The slowdown is not a crash – non-housing US demand is only likely to give way gradually, probably under Fed pressure;

  • And the Eurasian savings glut is growing;

  • Whatever central banks may do, the two preceding points mean bond yields are being driven down;

  • Hedge funds and private equity have grown massively on the basis of leveraged booms – they are not about to roll over and play dead.

Access intelligence that drives action

To unlock this research, enter your email to log in or enquire about access