Bond Outlook January 31st

Is the future of the CHF linked to the JPY’s and possible unwinding of the carry trade? For those expecting curve steeping in Euroland, new CMSs are available. But beware!

Bond Outlook [by bridport & cie, January 31st 2007]

The CHF and the JPY have continued their downward trend. It seems that the lower the JPY goes, the louder the warning voices about unwinding the carry-trade. In the meantime, BoJ has given up on its desire to raise rates in the immediate future, thus encouraging the carry-trade even more. Nevertheless, the carry-trade scene remains a threat to the smooth rebalancing of the world economy.




We link the CHF to the JPY in this context.

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