Bond Outlook October 31st

Beyond the week-to-week developments of financial markets, a “mega-trend” is firmly underway, providing a background to individual events: the shift of economic power from the West to the East.

Bond Outlook [by bridport & cie, October 31st 2007]

Normally in our Weekly we follow the step-by-step developments of the US economy and its impact on the rest of the world. We identified the sub-prime problem very early this year, specifically when HSBC was the first bank to reveal losses related to sub-prime, and we reasoned that US household spending had to decline if consumers could no longer finance their excess spending by mortgage equity withdrawal.

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