Monetary policy: Surprise UK rate hike fuels leak rumours

Some unusual price action just before the Bank of England announced an increase in its key repo rate in August has got the conspiracy theorists muttering.

Few predicted that the Bank of England would increase its key repo rate by 25 basis points to 4.75% at its regular monetary policy committee meeting on August 3. So it was no surprise that cable caught a very strong bid in the immediate aftermath of the decision. As the news was released at midday, cable moved up sharply from around 1.8725 to 1.8830.

A combination of factors appears to have come together and convinced many market players that the MPC’s decision was leaked in advance.

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