Bond Outlook November 16th

The strong dollar results directly from relative interest rates. The current cycle will move upward till the housing bubble deflates and then reverse. Next Spring? After four more Fed hikes?


Bond Outlook
[by bridport & cie, November 16th 2005]

How can a country whose external current account deficit keeps growing have a strong currency? It is only a couple of years since USD 45bln per month seemed unsustainable, and the dollar had to weaken. The dollar did indeed fall, but since then the deficit has widened to a regular USD 60 bln per month. Does this imply that the USA cannot balance its current account just by a weaker dollar? Probably, yes.

Access intelligence that drives action

To unlock this research, enter your email to log in or enquire about access