Most bankers would have said the stakes were high enough at the Rugby World Cup final between bitter rivals Australia and England in Sydney. But that was not the case with Aussie investment bank Macquarie. It upped the ante by publishing research confidently predicting a home victory, entitled “Rugby World Cup – quant style – Why the Wallabies will win”.
Quant analyst Raelene de Souza and team attempted to apply statistical analysis to the match outcome. Using a “multi-factor model”, she crunched seven determinants including betting trends, past results, and the weather forecast and concluded Australia would win.
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