Back to the age of defaults

Russia will probably default on its Eurobonds. Other sovereigns may well do the same. That's not such a big deal, say the markets. It's all in the price. But are they ready for the consequences? The Euromarkets have grown up with the idea that Eurobonds are immune from rescheduling. But every debt crisis in history has been messy; the instruments involved have been discredited for years. What happens when international bond default becomes normal again? Antony Currie reports.

November 27 1998, the day the Eurobond market changed for ever. Or was it December 10, 24 or 26? Or even a slew of dates ­ take your pick ­ between January and April 1999? Many involved in the Eurobond market have all these dates firmly marked in their diaries. They are the days on which the coupon payments for the 10 international bonds so far issued by the Russian Federation fall due.

As it stands, there is a high probability that Russia will become the first-ever sovereign issuer to default on a Eurobond issue.

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