Economic projections

Economic projections: Methodology

*Rank*			*Average performance*	*Economic performance*		*Expected change*	*GNP growth*
*Sep-98*	*Dec-97*		*1999-2000*	*1999*	*2000*	*1999-2000*	*1999*	*2000*
1	1	Luxembourg	88.36	88.57	88.14	-0.43	3.44	3.10
2	3	Norway	82.00	82.45	81.55	-0.91	2.84	2.60
3	2	United States	81.52	81.74	81.29	-0.44	2.41	2.35
4	14	Austria	80.79	80.80	80.79	-0.01	2.70	2.57
5	5	Ireland	80.65	80.00	81.31	1.31	6.65	5.58
6	4	Netherlands	80.53	80.97	80.09	-0.88	3.03	2.88
7	8	Finland	80.19	80.54	79.85	-0.69	3.22	3.11
8	16	Germany	79.35	78.85	79.84	0.99	2.73	2.66
9	15	Malta	78.50	78.17	78.83	0.67	4.00	5.50
10	9	Denmark	78.41	78.34	78.47	0.13	1.92	2.45
11	21	France	77.70	77.58	77.82	0.24	2.45	2.74
12	10	Sweden	77.05	77.39	76.70	-0.69	2.73	2.50
13	17	Switzerland	76.90	76.73	77.07	0.34	1.91	1.93
14	13	Portugal	76.57	76.50	76.63	0.13	2.90	3.40
15	11	Spain	76.52	76.29	76.75	0.46	3.55	3.51
16	6	Canada	76.13	77.27	75.00	-2.27	2.73	2.55
17	22	Iceland	76.00	75.93	76.07	0.14	3.38	3.63
18	18	Belgium	75.50	76.03	74.97	-1.07	2.65	2.42
19	24	Italy	74.08	74.03	74.13	0.11	2.71	2.74
20	20	Australia	73.89	72.75	75.04	2.29	2.43	2.60
21	7	United Kingdom	72.37	71.55	73.19	1.64	1.68	2.05
22	23	New Zealand	71.80	71.05	72.55	1.50	2.41	2.65
23	19	Taiwan	70.69	68.25	73.13	4.88	4.10	4.82
24	12	Singapore	69.77	66.38	73.16	6.77	1.52	2.77
25	33	Botswana	69.17	69.17	69.17	0.00	5.00	–
26	34	Poland	67.22	66.77	67.68	0.91	5.39	5.28
27	29	Cyprus	66.50	66.00	67.00	1.00	3.35	3.75
28	40	Greece	65.82	65.64	66.00	0.36	3.16	3.19
29	39	Hungary	65.27	64.55	66.00	1.45	4.82	4.80
30	25	United Arab Emirates	64.20	62.90	65.50	2.60	1.03	0.80
31	26	Kuwait	64.17	62.67	65.67	3.00	1.10	2.20
32	38	Namibia	64.00	62.75	65.25	2.50	4.00	–
33	–	Uruguay	63.92	65.50	62.33	-3.17	3.73	–
34	37	Slovenia	63.67	64.00	63.33	-0.67	3.88	3.83
35	31	Chile	63.50	64.53	62.46	-2.07	4.03	4.58
36	47	Czech Republic	62.53	60.69	64.36	3.67	2.44	2.97
37	–	Costa Rica	62.38	62.75	62.00	-0.75	4.00	–
38	50	Bahrain	61.03	57.30	64.75	7.45	1.10	1.95
39	–	Trinidad & Tobago	61.00	61.00	61.00	0.00	4.30	–
40	45	Panama	60.77	60.38	61.17	0.79	4.00	–
41	28	China	60.36	59.31	61.40	2.09	5.64	6.31
42	27	Hong Kong	59.99	57.17	62.82	5.65	0.98	2.35
43	44	Israel	59.20	59.30	59.10	-0.20	2.29	2.94
44	53	Estonia	58.94	59.25	58.63	-0.63	5.61	5.42
45	32	Japan	58.84	55.38	62.30	6.92	0.52	1.17
46	48	Argentina	57.99	58.17	57.81	-0.36	3.72	3.68
47	30	Jordan	56.80	56.50	57.10	0.60	4.40	5.30
48	36	Saudi Arabia	56.75	55.56	57.94	2.38	0.67	2.56
49	46	Mexico	56.63	56.25	57.00	0.75	3.75	3.87
50	43	Tunisia	56.63	54.75	58.50	3.75	4.68	–
51	54	Egypt	56.13	53.67	58.60	4.93	4.48	5.20
52	56	Philippines	54.62	52.67	56.57	3.90	2.04	2.95
53	60	Qatar	54.58	52.58	56.58	4.00	4.70	4.00
54	–	El Salvador	54.58	54.67	54.50	-0.17	3.75	–
55	73	Peru	54.54	53.25	55.83	2.58	4.90	5.33
56	–	Dominican Republic	54.00	54.00	54.00	0.00	5.00	–
57	35	Oman	53.63	53.00	54.25	1.25	0.37	1.50
58	63	Lithuania	53.56	56.83	50.29	-6.55	5.24	5.00
59	–	Uganda	53.19	54.50	51.88	-2.63	6.00	–
60	41	South Korea	53.09	47.69	58.50	10.81	0.45	2.69
61	51	Morocco	53.01	50.92	55.10	4.18	3.78	5.00
62	58	Latvia	52.87	55.86	49.89	-5.97	5.36	5.60
63	–	Guatemala	52.79	51.83	53.75	1.92	5.00	–
64	–	Ethiopia	52.50	51.25	53.75	2.50	5.00	–
65	55	India	52.43	52.77	52.08	-0.69	4.71	4.45
66	–	Gabon	52.00	51.17	52.83	1.67	3.00	–
67	74	Turkey	52.00	51.21	52.79	1.58	5.09	4.79
68	64	Colombia	51.86	50.92	52.80	1.88	2.59	4.00
69	62	Croatia	51.76	49.86	53.67	3.81	5.19	5.13
70	–	Benin	51.00	51.00	51.00	0.00	5.00	–
71	–	Senegal	50.67	50.67	50.67	0.00	5.00	–
72	49	South Africa	50.50	49.35	51.65	2.31	1.87	2.51
73	–	Fiji	50.00	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.30	–
74	57	Slovak Republic	49.92	47.65	52.19	4.54	3.11	3.04
75	–	Paraguay	49.75	47.00	52.50	5.50	2.73	–
76	61	Brazil	49.40	50.68	48.12	-2.56	2.22	2.89
77	69	Bolivia	49.29	49.25	49.33	0.08	5.00	4.50
78	–	Bahamas	49.00	50.00	48.00	-2.00	–	–
79	87	Sri Lanka	48.50	48.50	48.50	0.00	5.50	–
80	–	Jamaica	48.25	45.50	51.00	5.50	0.65	–
81	42	Malaysia	47.95	44.59	51.31	6.72	-0.06	1.55
82	82	Ecuador	47.56	46.71	48.40	1.69	2.83	4.00
83	66	Thailand	47.28	43.18	51.38	8.20	-0.79	2.33
84	–	Papua New Guinea	47.17	47.17	47.17	0.00	3.25	–
85	–	Gambia	47.00	47.00	47.00	0.00	–	–
86	83	Kazakhstan	46.50	44.00	49.00	5.00	2.00	2.50
87	–	Surinam	46.50	46.50	46.50	0.00	–	–
88	–	Mali	46.25	46.25	46.25	0.00	4.50	–
89	70	Venezuela	45.35	42.40	48.31	5.91	0.62	3.18
90	97	Bangladesh	45.00	44.67	45.33	0.67	4.80	5.50
91	76	Kyrgyz Republic	44.83	44.33	45.33	1.00	6.00	4.50
92	65	Côte d’Ivoire	44.42	43.83	45.00	1.17	5.73	3.00
93	–	Chad	44.00	44.00	44.00	0.00	–	–
94	–	Guyana	44.00	44.00	44.00	0.00	–	–
95	59	Ghana	43.80	43.10	44.50	1.40	4.00	–
96	–	Togo	43.75	43.75	43.75	0.00	5.00	–
97	–	Tanzania	43.38	42.88	43.88	1.00	5.50	–
98	68	Vietnam	43.36	43.14	43.57	0.43	5.08	5.40
99	–	Central African Republic	43.00	43.00	43.00	0.00	4.50	–
100	–	Honduras	42.75	42.75	42.75	0.00	5.00	–
101	–	Guinea	42.50	42.50	42.50	0.00	4.00	–
102	–	Burkina Faso	42.25	42.25	42.25	0.00	5.00	–
103	77	Lebanon	42.08	41.75	42.42	0.67	2.80	3.90
104	71	Uzhbekistan	42.00	41.20	42.80	1.60	3.42	3.25
105	–	Zambia	42.00	42.00	42.00	0.00	4.25	–
106	89	Georgia	41.97	42.33	41.60	-0.73	8.00	6.00
107	–	Cameroon	41.67	40.83	42.50	1.67	4.75	–
108	88	Kenya	41.50	41.08	41.92	0.83	4.17	4.00
109	81	Azerbaijan	41.38	39.75	43.00	3.25	6.88	7.00
110	–	Mongolia	41.00	41.00	41.00	0.00	–	–
111	84	Bulgaria	40.96	39.30	42.63	3.33	3.04	3.43
112	92	Algeria	40.80	40.20	41.40	1.20	3.23	4.70
113	78	Yemen	40.60	41.80	39.40	-2.40	3.07	4.30
114	–	Haiti	40.50	40.50	40.50	0.00	–	–
115	94	Nigeria	39.93	36.60	43.25	6.65	3.00	3.00
116	–	Libya	39.50	39.33	39.67	0.33	0.20	–
117	80	Zimbabwe	39.38	39.75	39.00	-0.75	2.75	–
118	72	Iran	38.90	37.80	40.00	2.20	2.33	4.50
119	79	Romania	38.70	37.95	39.45	1.50	1.44	2.50
120	99	Myanmar	38.00	39.25	36.75	-2.50	3.25	–
121	86	Syria	37.50	36.60	38.40	1.80	2.60	4.20
122	–	Niger	37.00	37.00	37.00	0.00	–	–
123	–	FYR Madagascar	36.83	36.00	37.67	1.67	3.50	–
124	52	Indonesia	35.13	29.76	40.50	10.74	-2.81	1.07
125	75	Russia	34.39	33.56	35.22	1.66	-2.64	-0.13
126	93	Armenia	33.75	32.50	35.00	2.50	6.50	6.75
127	–	Malawi	33.50	32.25	34.75	2.50	7.00	–
128	–	Mozambique	33.25	33.50	33.00	-0.50	8.00	–
129	95	Ukraine	32.78	32.25	33.31	1.06	0.36	1.75
130	–	Cuba	32.58	32.67	32.50	-0.17	3.90	–
131	101	Albania	31.88	31.75	32.00	0.25	4.75	5.00
132	85	Pakistan	31.69	31.44	31.94	0.50	2.97	3.00
133	67	Barbados	30.00	30.00	30.00	0.00	–	–
134	–	Nepal	30.00	30.00	30.00	0.00	–	–
135	–	Turkmenistan	30.00	30.00	30.00	0.00	6.00	–
136	–	St Lucia	29.00	28.00	30.00	2.00	–	–
137	100	Belarus	28.38	28.25	28.50	0.25	5.75	0.00
138	91	Macedonia	28.25	26.50	30.00	3.50	3.00	3.50
139	98	Moldova	28.13	27.50	28.75	1.25	0.00	-2.50
140	–	Guinea-Bissau	23.50	23.50	23.50	0.00	–	–
141	90	Yugoslavia	23.36	20.10	26.63	6.53	8.50	4.00
142	–	Congo	22.75	22.75	22.75	0.00	0.00	–
143	–	Sierra Leone	22.25	21.00	23.50	2.50	10.00	–
144	103	Iraq	20.33	19.17	21.50	2.33	8.65	–
145	–	Sudan	20.25	20.25	20.25	0.00	3.50	–
146	–	Cape Verde	20.00	20.00	20.00	0.00	–	–
147	–	Angola	19.38	18.75	20.00	1.25	3.00	–
148	–	Laos	19.00	18.00	20.00	2.00	–	–
149	–	Somalia	18.50	18.50	18.50	0.00	–	–
150	–	Nicaragua	18.25	18.25	18.25	0.00	5.00	–
151	96	Tajikistan	17.75	17.50	18.00	0.50	5.05	–
152	–	Liberia	13.00	13.00	13.00	0.00	–	–
153	–	Democratic Republic of Congo	11.83	12.17	11.50	-0.67	-6.65	–
154	–	Afghanistan	10.00	10.00	10.00	0.00	–	–
155	–	North Korea	7.75	7.75	7.75	0.00	-7.00	-1.75