Global Economic Projections: Overall Rankings

When the world started to melt

When the world started to melt

What will go wrong next?

Asian banks: Now comes the real crisis

Asian research: Worth the paper it’s printed on?

Peregrine’s still flying

Hedge funds: You can run but you can’t hide

Country Risk December 1997: It could be worse

Global Economic Projections: Top 10 climbers

Global Economic Projections: Top 10 nosedives

Global Economic Projections: Methodology

Rank

 

Average performance 1998-99

Change from Sept score

Economic performance

Expected change (%)

GNP growth (%)

Dec-97

Sept

 

 

 

1998

1999

1998-1999

1998

1999

1

2

Luxembourg

85.93

-0.45

86.14

85.71

-0.5

3.43

3.32

2

1

United States

84.4

-2.5

86.04

82.76

-3.81

2.67

2.42

3

4

Norway

83.1

-0.18

85

81.21

-4.46

3.63

2.93

4

3

Netherlands

83.03

-0.55

83.06

83

-0.08

3.36

2.85

5

8

Ireland

81.06

0.63

81.85

80.27

-1.93

6.21

5.98

6

6

Canada

81.03

-1.18

81.92

80.14

-2.17

3.41

3.01

7

7

United Kingdom

79.3

-1.36

81.2

77.41

-4.66

2.69

2.16

8

12

Finland

78.82

0.57

79.07

78.57

-0.63

3.73

3.27

9

9

Denmark

78.33

-1.17

78.94

77.72

-1.54

2.92

2.68

10

16

Sweden

76.37

1.91

76.53

76.21

-0.42

2.94

2.81

11

13

Spain

76.03

-1.97

75.33

76.72

1.84

3.43

3.31

12

10

Singapore

75.86

-3.01

76.04

75.69

-0.45

5.73

5.96

13

11

Portugal

75.5

-3.06

77.23

73.77

-4.48

3.43

3.27

14

17

Austria

73.9

-0.15

74.25

73.55

-0.95

2.81

2.68

15

5

Malta

73.8

-9.03

75

72.6

-3.2

4.83

4.5

16

19

Germany

73.33

0.49

73.12

73.54

0.58

2.86

2.68

17

27

Switzerland

73.32

4.43

72.38

74.25

2.58

1.85

2.11

18

20

Belgium

72.83

0.45

72.69

72.97

0.39

2.86

2.6

19

21

Taiwan

72.44

0.28

72

72.88

1.23

5.74

5.8

20

15

Australia

72.25

-3.8

70.81

73.69

4.06

3.74

3.66

21

24

France

71.6

1.63

71.7

71.5

-0.28

2.74

2.61

22

22

Iceland

71.25

-0.11

71.33

71.17

-0.23

3.52

3.08

23

14

New Zealand

70.25

-7.46

68.75

71.75

4.36

3.28

3.12

24

31

Italy

69.52

3.48

67.95

71.08

4.62

2.32

2.66

25

36

United Arab Emirates

69.5

4.83

73

66

-9.59

1.17

1.1

26

38

Kuwait

69.38

5.46

67.75

71

4.8

2.53

2.5

27

18

Hong Kong

68.45

-4.43

68.8

68.11

-1.01

4.29

4.49

28

28

China

66.72

-1.89

65.82

67.62

2.73

8.56

8.58

29

23

Cyprus

66.3

-4.7

67

65.6

-2.09

3.33

3.33

30

44

Jordan

65.33

3.63

61.67

69

11.89

5.53

5.5

31

29

Chile

64.96

-3

64.92

65

0.13

6.48

6.04

32

30

Japan

63.97

-2.84

62.34

65.6

5.24

1.65

2.12

33

50

Botswana

63.75

5.75

65

62.5

-3.85

5

5

34

34

Poland

62.89

-1.86

61.68

64.1

3.92

5.2

5.05

35

48

Oman

62.83

4.53

63.67

62

-2.62

4.03

4.5

36

39

Saudi Arabia

61.95

-1.91

62.4

61.5

-1.44

1.7

2.23

37

37

Slovenia

61.67

-2.4

63

60.33

-4.23

3.89

4

38

57

Namibia

61.5

6.25

60

63

5

5.25

4.5

39

35

Hungary

61.46

-3.23

60.8

62.11

2.16

3.84

4

40

33

Greece

60.34

-4.78

60.18

60.5

0.53

3.05

2.95

41

40

South Korea

60.04

-2.98

56.87

63.21

11.16

5.1

5.25

42

26

Malaysia

59.43

-9.89

57.57

61.29

6.46

5.14

5.61

43

59

Tunisia

59.3

5.3

58.8

59.8

1.7

4.92

4.56

44

41

Israel

58.88

-3.79

59.43

58.33

-1.84

3.4

3.88

45

63

Panama

58.75

5.92

55

62.5

13.64

3.75

4.1

46

47

Mexico

58.38

-1.94

57.8

58.96

2.01

4.94

4.65

47

46

Czech Republic

57.07

-3.26

55.7

58.44

4.93

2.73

3.38

48

42

Argentina

56.48

-5.91

56.96

56

-1.69

4.63

4.66

49

58

South Africa

56.34

1.22

55.25

57.44

3.96

2.76

3.46

50

61

Bahrain

56.21

2.87

58.75

53.67

-8.65

2.1

2.25

51

65

Morocco

55.79

4.46

55.33

56.25

1.66

4.1

4.46

52

32

Indonesia

55.36

-10.49

53.33

57.39

7.61

4.42

4.93

53

43

Estonia

55.29

-6.71

54.29

56.29

3.68

5.53

5.33

54

62

Egypt

55.07

1.91

54.06

56.08

3.74

5.1

5

55

52

India

54.34

-3.34

54.08

54.59

0.94

5.99

5.81

56

45

Philippines

53.18

-8.01

51.77

54.58

5.44

3.81

4.47

57

53

Slovak Republic

51.08

-5.47

50.78

51.38

1.18

2.92

3.56

58

51

Latvia

50.83

-6.87

49.33

52.33

6.08

4.29

4.42

59

77

Ghana

50.42

4.32

50.33

50.5

0.33

5

4.5

60

54

Qatar

50.17

-5.67

52.33

48

-8.28

8.77

5.5

61

60

Brazil

50.06

-3.68

47.88

52.23

9.07

2.41

3.68

62

64

Croatia

50.02

-2.4

48.83

51.2

4.85

4.8

5.3

63

56

Lithuania

49.1

-6.53

47.8

50.4

5.44

4.63

4.7

64

72

Colombia

48.35

-0.74

47.56

49.14

3.34

4.19

4.06

65

83

Côte dÕIvoire

47.9

3.7

45.8

50

9.17

5.88

6.1

66

69

Thailand

47.74

-2.29

44.75

50.73

13.37

2.32

3.54

67

–

Barbados

47.5

–

47.5

47.5

0

2.5

3

68

49

Vietnam

45.66

-12.39

45.63

45.69

0.14

7.57

7.54

69

85

Bolivia

45.17

1.29

44.33

46

3.76

4

4.75

70

73

Venezuela

44.53

-4.18

46.3

42.75

-7.67

4.61

3.36

71

102

Uzbekistan

44.25

8.25

42.5

46

8.24

3.5

3

72

80

Iran

44.13

-1.21

44.25

44

-0.56

2.6

2

73

76

Peru

43.88

-2.33

44.25

43.5

-1.69

4.41

4.4

74

78

Turkey

43.74

-2.31

44.36

43.11

-2.82

4.62

4.28

75

66

Russia

43.53

-7.47

41.33

45.73

10.63

2.11

3.67

76

111

Kyrgyzstan

43.5

17.75

42.5

44.5

4.71

5.5

5

77

87

Lebanon

43.25

-0.42

45.5

41

-9.89

4.2

4.27

78

81

Yemen

43.17

-1.53

42.33

44

3.94

2.27

3

79

86

Romania

42.67

-1.18

40.22

45.13

12.19

2.58

3.56

80

75

Zimbabwe

42

-5

41

43

4.88

3.18

4.83

81

103

Azerbaijan

41.83

7.58

40.33

43.33

7.44

6.5

6

82

91

Ecuador

39.17

-2.23

42

36.33

-13.49

2.62

3.8

83

90

Kazakhstan

37.38

-4.63

36.25

38.5

6.21

3.38

3.67

84

96

Bulgaria

36.56

-2.94

35.13

38

8.19

1.43

3.26

85

98

Pakistan

36.25

-2.54

36.88

35.63

-3.39

4.61

4.7

86

100

Syria

35.5

-1.2

37

34

-8.11

3.25

4

87

84

Sri Lanka

35.25

-8.94

36.5

34

-6.85

4.9

5.6

88

95

Kenya

34.67

-5.46

33.67

35.67

5.94

3.3

3.75

89

–

Georgia

34.5

–

33

36

9.09

8

10

90

113

Yugoslavia

32.75

10.58

31.5

34

7.94

2.9

4

91

–

FYR Macedonia

32.25

–

31.5

33

4.76

4

4

92

89

Algeria

31.75

-10.66

32

31.5

-1.56

4.08

3.75

93

–

Armenia

31.25

–

30.5

32

4.92

5

5

94

107

Nigeria

30.54

0.04

31.75

29.33

-7.61

4.16

3.83

95

105

Ukraine

30.16

-1.19

29.31

31

5.76

0.39

2.24

96

121

Tajikistan

29.5

17.5

29

30

3.45

2.25

4

97

79

Bangladesh

29.25

-16.5

30

28.5

-5

4.5

5.3

98

–

Moldova

28.5

–

27.5

29.5

7.27

1

2

99

82

Myanmar

25.42

-19.08

23.33

27.5

17.86

5.25

4

100

115

Belarus

24.5

3.67

24

25

4.17

3

3.5